Fairfax County — Supervisor Michael R. Frey (R-Sully) gave his State of Sully address last week, talking mainly about Fairfax County’s economy and transportation issues. He spoke last Monday, Jan. 21, at the quarterly meeting of the West Fairfax County Citizens Association (WFCCA).

Although many good things are on the horizon, he said, they’re also tinged with uncertainly.

“We have a strong, educated workforce in Northern Virginia, so I’m optimistic that we’ll have a bright future here,” said Frey. “But no one knows how long it’ll take to get here.”

Basically, he said, “We’re facing a lot of challenges — some we control directly, but an awful lot we don’t. The federal government is still figuring out where it wants to go.”

“You look at the future of Northern Virginia and Fairfax County and you wonder what it’ll look like economically. I don’t think we’ll see a vibrant Tysons anytime soon, and the county’s $67 million short to fund the Silver Line.”

— Sully Supervisor Michael R. Frey

Whether spending cuts or tax increases will come, “Everyone is still so reliant, in all their projections, on economic growth — and I wonder why they’re so optimistic,” said Frey. “All the people I talk to — except for those in Tysons — say, ‘Who are you kidding? No one’s investing.’”

Still, he said, “Somebody in the federal government is assuming there’ll be huge growth over the next 10 years. But while we’re raising taxes by $25 billion for next year, we just spent $60 billion for [Hurricane] Sandy, so we’re not getting anywhere.”

Frey said all this economic uncertainty affects the state. As a result, he said, “We don’t know how much the state will expand Medicaid. Gov. McDonnell says no. I find it ironic that Virginia — so adamant about state’s rights — declined to set up its own state, health-care plan.”

So with so many unknowns, said Frey, “You look at the future of Northern Virginia and Fairfax County and you wonder what it’ll look like economically. I don’t think we’ll see a vibrant Tysons anytime soon, and the county’s $67 million short to fund the Silver Line.”

“We’re also still $150 million short, at least, on our obligation on Phase II of [Dulles] Rail,” he continued. “They expect to award the contract in the spring, with construction starting in summer. Passenger service for Phase I is expected to start by the end of this year, and it will certainly change the face of this region.”

REGARDING VDOT’S I-66 Corridor Environmental Impact Study (EIS), Frey noted that Phase I is about extending I-66 from the Beltway to Route 15. “It doesn’t do an analysis of the I-66/Route 28 intersection [in Centreville] or of a rail line down the center,” said Frey. “These things will be done in Phase II of that study. It won’t take as long to do the EIS in two phases, so this is a good step forward.”

He said the Board of Supervisors believes the next extension of rail should be in the I-66 Corridor. However, said Frey, “If the FBI moves to Springfield, it’ll cost us some money, so we’re looking to get ahead of the curve. But I’m concerned that we continue to focus on other areas of the county, like Tysons and Springfield, when the congestion is here.”

Meanwhile, he said, some spot improvements will help drivers locally. “There’s a plan to have four lanes from Route 50 to the Dulles Toll Road and we’re moving ahead with some pieces of that,” said Frey. “We’re looking to do some of it with Route 28 Tax District money.”

One change already benefiting drivers here has been the extension of the merge lane onto Route 28 north from I-66 west. Now, motorists don’t have to turn at Walney and have another quarter mile to merge into traffic.

There’s also a plan to lengthen the turn lanes from Route 28 south to I-66 east. These lanes currently back up during both morning and evening rush hours. Frey said relief should be underway in the next few months.

“We also want to extend the right-turn-only lane from Route 28 south to Braddock Road and make it also a through lane to go west on I-66,” he said. “There are some right-of-way and drainage issues, but VDOT wants to build up that lane between Braddock and the I-66 ramp.”

AS FOR THE INTERSECTION of Braddock and Pleasant Valley roads (by Cox Farms), Frey acknowledged that “it’s been a problem for awhile — two, tiny, one-lane roads with no turning lanes. Because of poor drainage, it ices in winter and floods in spring. There’s not any room to separate turning lanes and put in a traffic signal, and a traffic circle would cost $6 million-plus.”

Besides that, added WFCCA’s Judy Heisinger, “When they did the traffic counts for a traffic circle, the density was too high.” So Fairfax County tabled its plans to fix that intersection. And although Loudoun County ponied up some money of its own, got VDOT to do likewise and hopes to improve that intersection somehow, Fairfax has no money to contribute to the effort.

“But VDOT says its design analysis will be done in a few weeks,” said Frey. “I’d expect, sometime this spring, we’ll have a meeting about it. Virginia Run’s concerned that fixing the intersection will cause more traffic. It’s more congestion than is acceptable, so we’ve got to do something about it — but we still don’t have the money for it.”

He said only a “couple hundred” of Fairfax County’s nearly 1.1 million people responded to a survey about transportation-system improvements. “They said, ‘We want the improvements, but don’t use property-tax money for them,’” said Frey. “They said use hotel or rental-car taxes for them or have developers pay for them.”